Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.326474 0.380583 0.441040 0.513636 0.598503 0.694656 0.811977
2025-01-19 0.240626 0.311346 0.399098 0.516179 0.668634 0.860898 1.122555
2025-01-26 0.204299 0.283958 0.390187 0.542622 0.756523 1.047160 1.474093
2025-02-02 0.179305 0.264152 0.384135 0.566858 0.839455 1.233246 1.849325
2025-02-09 0.158577 0.245622 0.375099 0.582688 0.909270 1.406838 2.229221
2025-02-16 0.139995 0.226707 0.361616 0.588064 0.961614 1.558498 2.594878
2025-02-23 0.123227 0.207758 0.344740 0.584446 0.997303 1.686273 2.937679
2025-03-02 0.107016 0.187197 0.322065 0.567259 1.006646 1.769784 3.214731
2025-03-09 0.099066 0.179469 0.319593 0.583796 1.075521 1.962843 3.711242
2025-03-16 0.090054 0.168551 0.309951 0.585784 1.117655 2.112399 4.147163
2025-03-23 0.083507 0.161226 0.305700 0.596826 1.177502 2.301367 4.684186
2025-03-30 0.075057 0.149170 0.291051 0.585764 1.192521 2.405204 5.064459
2025-04-06 0.068026 0.139184 0.279490 0.579971 1.218670 2.537236 5.528851
2025-04-13 0.062693 0.131980 0.272610 0.582957 1.263666 2.714531 6.118808
2025-04-20 0.060505 0.131000 0.278227 0.612906 1.370136 3.035919 7.076985
2025-04-27 0.058217 0.129493 0.282491 0.640359 1.474661 3.366843 8.107540
2025-05-04 0.055311 0.126242 0.282551 0.658293 1.559779 3.665102 9.105943
2025-05-11 0.051773 0.121110 0.277784 0.664384 1.617772 3.907716 10.004557
2025-05-18 0.047873 0.114654 0.269217 0.660285 1.650471 4.093825 10.788199
2025-05-25 0.043383 0.106248 0.255102 0.640813 1.642278 4.177830 11.317471
2025-06-01 0.041626 0.104301 0.256206 0.659548 1.734109 4.527469 12.617323
2025-06-08 0.039070 0.100047 0.251148 0.661801 1.783037 4.772091 13.664561
2025-06-15 0.037268 0.097498 0.250056 0.674311 1.861189 5.105193 15.016998